Raftery, A. E., T. Gneiting, F. Balabdaoui, and M. Polakowski, 2005: Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles. Mon. Weather. Rev., 133, 1155-1174. Sloughter, J. M., A. E. Raftery, T. Gneiting, and C. Fraley, 2007: Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Bayesian model averaging. Mon. Weather. Rev., 135, 3209-3220.
Fit Bayesian model average (BMA) model to correct the bias in each forecast and combine multiple forecasts.
Execution: after compiling;
Input: weather forecasts;